1. The table shows the probabilities of a response chocolate or vanilla when asking a child or adult. Use the formula for conditional probability to determine independence.
a. Are the events ā€œChocolateā€ and ā€œAdultsā€ independent? Why or why not?
b. Are the events ā€œChildrenā€ and ā€œChocolateā€ independent? Why or why not? c. Are the events ā€œVanillaā€ and ā€œChildrenā€ independent? Why or why not?
Chocolate | Vanilla | Total
Children | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.40
Adults | 0.21 | 0.39 | 0.60
Total | 0.35 | 0.65 | 1.00

Relax

Respuesta :

[tex]\begin{matrix}&\text{chocolate}&\text{vanilla}&\text{total}\\\text{children}&0.14&0.26&0.40\\\text{adults}&0.21&0.39&0.60\\\text{total}&0.35&0.65&1.00\end{matrix}[/tex]

a. "Chocolate" and "Adults" (whatever those mean) will be independent as long as

[tex]P(\text{chocolate}\cap\text{adults})=P(\text{chocolate})\cdot P(\text{adults})[/tex]

"Chocolate" has the marginal distribution given by the second column, with a total probability of [tex]P(\text{chocolate})=0.35[/tex]. Similarly, "Adults" has the marginal distribution described by the third row, so that [tex]P(\text{adults})=0.60[/tex]. Then

[tex]P(\text{chocolate})\cdot P(\text{adults})=0.35\cdot0.60=0.21[/tex]

Meanwhile, the joint probability of "Chocolate" and "Adults" is given by the cell in the corresponding row/column, with [tex]P(\text{chocolate}\cap\text{adults})=0.21[/tex].

The probabilities match, so these events are indeed independent.

Parts (b) and (c) are checked similarly.

b. Yes;


[tex]P(\text{children})\cdot P(\text{chocolate})=0.40\cdot0.35=0.14[/tex]
[tex]P(\text{children}\cap\text{chocolate})=0.14[/tex]

c. Yes;

[tex]P(\text{vanilla})\cdot P(\text{children})=0.65\cdot0.40=0.26[/tex]
[tex]P(\text{vanilla}\cap\text{children})=0.26[/tex]